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SATURDAY, MAY 23, 2026 · MINED FROM 131 PODCASTS

May 23 · Declarative APIs cut 1,000 lines to 50

Good morning.Teams are aggressively constraining agent action spaces to guarantee deterministic outcomes.

May 23 · Declarative APIs cut 1,000 lines to 50

Constraining coding agents to high-level declarative APIs reduces error-prone generation targets from 1,000 lines of raw PyTorch down to 50 lines of simple calls. Jure Leskovec reports this approach entirely eliminates subtle data science bugs like temporal information leakage during complex enterprise workflows.

Ship This Week

Exposing a custom Marimo linter to Claude 4 via a `uv` tool call allowed the agent to auto-heal, solving 60% of environment-specific syntax errors.

agents

Environment-specific agent linters

Build custom linters for your specific environment to let agents auto-heal instead of relying on complex prompt engineering.

▾ Show more ▴ Show less

Problem: Agents lack awareness of environment-specific constraints (like Marimo's cell structure), leading to broken code that prompts alone can't reliably fix.

On: custom linters for agent auto-healing

“what if we make a linter? And the whole point of the linter is it's going to be super Marimo-specific... that solved about 60% of all the problems.”

Recipe Create a highly specific linter for your environment. Expose it to the agent via a standard tool call (runnable via `uv` without installing a full virtual environment). When the agent makes an environment-specific error, the linter provides exact feedback, allowing the LLM to auto-heal its own mistakes.

Measured Evidence 60% of agent errors solved

Counterpoint Prompt engineering is brittle for environment-specific syntax; deterministic linters provide reliable auto-healing loops.

Agent-Harness.ipynb* · May 20, 2026

Claude 4Marimouv
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Watch the Frontier

OpenAI's Yann Dubois notes SFT actively trains models to hallucinate unknown facts; RL fixes this by sampling only from the model's existing pre-trained knowledge.

fine_tuning

RL over SFT for hallucination reduction

Replacing supervised fine-tuning with reinforcement learning prevents models from learning to confidently fabricate unknown facts.

▾ Show more ▴ Show less

Problem: Supervised fine-tuning (SFT) actively trains models to hallucinate. If a human labeler cites a paper the model hasn't seen in pre-training, SFT forces the model to mimic citing unknown papers.

On: SFT as a driver of hallucinations

“SFT is going to force like Hallucination, while in reinforcement learning given that... you kind of sample from the model in the first place, extremely unlikely that it's sample something that it doesn't know and it's correct.”

Recipe Transition from SFT to RL for factual alignment. SFT forces the model to mimic human answers, including facts outside its pre-training weights. RL samples from the model's existing knowledge base—if it doesn't know a fact, it won't sample it correctly, naturally penalizing fabrications and rewarding "I don't know" behaviors.

Speaker's word Evidence Speaker's word, not measured.

Counterpoint SFT is the default for teaching models how to answer, but it inadvertently teaches them to confidently fabricate facts they don't actually know.

OpenAI's Yann Dubois: Why AI Progress Suddenly Feels Real · May 21, 2026

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Today's AI Patterns

Capability shifts and emerging build patterns from this week's shows.

agents

Environment-specific agent linters

Build custom linters for your specific environment to let agents auto-heal instead of relying on complex prompt engineering.

▾ Show more ▴ Show less

Problem: Agents lack awareness of environment-specific constraints (like Marimo's cell structure), leading to broken code that prompts alone can't reliably fix.

On: custom linters for agent auto-healing

“what if we make a linter? And the whole point of the linter is it's going to be super Marimo-specific... that solved about 60% of all the problems.”

Recipe Create a highly specific linter for your environment. Expose it to the agent via a standard tool call (runnable via `uv` without installing a full virtual environment). When the agent makes an environment-specific error, the linter provides exact feedback, allowing the LLM to auto-heal its own mistakes.

Measured Evidence 60% of agent errors solved

Counterpoint Prompt engineering is brittle for environment-specific syntax; deterministic linters provide reliable auto-healing loops.

Agent-Harness.ipynb* · May 20, 2026

Claude 4Marimouv
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fine_tuning

RL over SFT for hallucination reduction

Replacing supervised fine-tuning with reinforcement learning prevents models from learning to confidently fabricate unknown facts.

▾ Show more ▴ Show less

Problem: Supervised fine-tuning (SFT) actively trains models to hallucinate. If a human labeler cites a paper the model hasn't seen in pre-training, SFT forces the model to mimic citing unknown papers.

On: SFT as a driver of hallucinations

“SFT is going to force like Hallucination, while in reinforcement learning given that... you kind of sample from the model in the first place, extremely unlikely that it's sample something that it doesn't know and it's correct.”

Recipe Transition from SFT to RL for factual alignment. SFT forces the model to mimic human answers, including facts outside its pre-training weights. RL samples from the model's existing knowledge base—if it doesn't know a fact, it won't sample it correctly, naturally penalizing fabrications and rewarding "I don't know" behaviors.

Speaker's word Evidence Speaker's word, not measured.

Counterpoint SFT is the default for teaching models how to answer, but it inadvertently teaches them to confidently fabricate facts they don't actually know.

OpenAI's Yann Dubois: Why AI Progress Suddenly Feels Real · May 21, 2026

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agents

Declarative APIs for coding agents

Constrain coding agents to high-level declarative APIs to prevent subtle data science bugs like temporal information leakage.

▾ Show more ▴ Show less

Problem: Coding agents writing raw PyTorch or XGBoost pipelines introduce subtle data science bugs, like temporal information leakage (aggregating data to midnight instead of the exact transaction time).

On: high-level APIs for coding agents

“These models write thousands of lines of code but there are this like super subtle data sciency mistakes... If you give it this more like higher level Kumo-like API, then it's able to do the same work in about 50 lines of code. No mistakes.”

Recipe Do not ask agents to write low-level ML framework code. Instead, provide agents with high-level, declarative APIs that abstract away feature engineering and temporal joins. This reduces the generation target from 1,000 lines of error-prone code to ~50 lines of API calls.

Measured Evidence 1,000 lines → 50 lines, 0 mistakes

Counterpoint Agents fail at long-horizon data science tasks due to subtle logic bugs; constraining their action space with high-level APIs eliminates these failure modes.

Relational Foundation Models for Enterprise Data with Jure Leskovec - #768 · May 21, 2026

PyTorchXGBoostKumoClaude Code
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agents

Two-pronged admin and user agent architecture

Separate tool creation from tool execution by using an admin agent to define strict tools that a user-facing agent is constrained to use.

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Problem: Enterprises want the reasoning capabilities of LLMs for user support but cannot risk giving a single agent unlimited autonomy and system access.

On: two-pronged architecture for enterprise agent security

“The help desk agent can only use the tools and skills that have been expressly built, published with approvals and permissions and all of that by the admins... you get the full ability and intelligence of the help desk agent to use those tools appropriately.”

Recipe Divide the system into two agents. The 'Admin agent' is used by IT to build, approve, and publish specific tools with strict permissions. The 'Help desk agent' handles end-user chats with full reasoning capabilities, but its execution environment is strictly limited to the whitelisted tools published by the Admin agent.

Speaker's word Evidence Speaker's word, not measured.

Counterpoint Instead of relying on system prompts to restrict a single omnipotent agent, physically separate tool creation from tool execution.

Rebuilding IT From the Ground Up for the AI Age: Serval's Jake Stauch · May 19, 2026

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agents

State-aware meta-agent for workflow deduplication

Use a meta-agent with full contextual awareness of historical workflows to prevent users from generating duplicate automations.

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Problem: When natural language makes automation too easy, users build dozens of duplicate workflows (e.g., 20 password reset flows), confusing the routing AI on which to execute.

On: meta-agent to prevent duplicate workflow generation

“When you say, hey, I want this workflow that does X, Y and Z, it says, hey, actually you've got 19 that already do that. I could modify one of these, but here's what I think you should do.”

Recipe Deploy a meta-agent that intercepts workflow creation requests. Give it full contextual awareness of all previously built workflows. When a user requests a new workflow, the agent checks for duplicates, suggests modifying an existing one, or recommends deleting redundant workflows before building a new one.

Speaker's word Evidence Speaker's word, not measured.

Counterpoint Instead of just executing the user's prompt to build a workflow, the agent acts as a state-aware gatekeeper to prevent database bloat.

Rebuilding IT From the Ground Up for the AI Age: Serval's Jake Stauch · May 19, 2026

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fine_tuning

Classification-only fine-tuning constraint

Restrict fine-tuning to massive-scale, static classification tasks to avoid being obsoleted by frontier model releases.

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Problem: Teams spend massive resources fine-tuning models only to have their custom model immediately outperformed by the next general frontier model release.

On: limiting fine-tuning to classification

“I have an extremely straightforward classification job that I need to do at scale. I'm talking millions or billions of data points. If you have a problem like this, it may make sense to do fine tuning.”

Recipe Default to off-the-shelf models and prompt engineering. Only approve fine-tuning for extremely narrow, static domains—specifically classification jobs operating at the scale of millions or billions of data points.

Speaker's word Evidence Speaker's word, not measured.

Counterpoint Teams often fine-tune to inject knowledge, but fine-tuning is best reserved for teaching narrow formats or massive-scale classification.

993: How to Build AI-First Organizations, with Jacob Miller and Jeremy Mumford · May 19, 2026

Bloomberg GPTGPT-3GPT-4
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evals

Multi-language formal verification via Strata

Use the open-source Strata intermediate representation to translate Python, Java, and Rust into Lean for formal verification.

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Problem: Applying mathematical theorem provers to production codebases is difficult because provers don't natively understand modern languages like Rust or Python.

On: translating production code to Lean

“translate the programs from rust into lean via strata, which we've open sourced and then to reason and lean.”

Recipe Translate production code (Python, Java, Rust) into strata, an open-source intermediate representation. This unifies the code into a logical representation that maps directly to the semantics of the Lean theorem prover, allowing LLMs to reason about it formally.

Speaker's word Evidence Speaker's word, not measured.

Formal Methods as Agent Guardrails · May 19, 2026

strataLean
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fine_tuning

Training on unpublished negative data

Eli Lilly trains its molecular models on decades of failed experiments to map the non-viable chemical space.

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Problem: Training AI solely on published scientific literature limits models to positive outcomes, ignoring the vast majority of experiments that failed due to toxicity or poor binding.

On: training on negative experimental data

“For every molecule that worked, we had millions that failed. It failed because it didn't bind or it was toxic... And all these never get published... And that helps us then to build better molecules.”

Recipe Incorporate internal negative experimental results (unpublished failures, toxic molecules, non-binding candidates) into the training sets of diffusion and generative flow models. This teaches the model which areas of the combinatorial space to avoid, rather than just mimicking successful published literature.

Speaker's word Evidence Speaker's word, not measured.

Counterpoint Most teams train on successful public literature; Lilly trains on decades of unpublished failed experiments to map the non-viable space.

Scaling Scientific R&D with AI Supercomputing Infrastructure — with Thomas Fuchs of Eli Lilly · May 19, 2026

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evals

Game manual in-context evals

Evaluate an LLM's meta-learning and adaptation by putting a complex game manual in the prompt and testing its gameplay.

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Problem: Standard evals test static knowledge that is often already in the pre-training data, failing to measure a model's ability to learn, adapt, and follow complex new instructions.

On: evaluating meta-learning via game manuals

“You give the instruction manual for, I think it was Civilization, the game. And then you're meant to be able to play... as you play the game, you learn to play better.”

Recipe Create an eval based on a complex, out-of-distribution game (like Civilization or a custom invented game). Place the full instruction manual in the context window. Evaluate the model on two axes: initial instruction following (playing valid moves) and in-context learning (improving gameplay over the course of the context window).

Speaker's word Evidence Speaker's word, not measured.

Counterpoint Standard evals measure memorization; this measures in-context adaptation by forcing the model to learn a complex ruleset entirely from the prompt.

Ep 87: Gemini Co-Lead on World Models, RL's Next Domains & Continual Learning · May 22, 2026

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product

Template-constrained generative UI

Instead of generating apps from scratch, Google's Canvas classifies intent to load pre-built UI templates and uses the LLM solely to populate data.

Nilay Patel · Host / The Vergecast · The Verge · The Vergecast

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Problem: Generating full applications from scratch via LLM for every user query is inefficient, error-prone, and often causes the model to spiral into broken states.

On: generative UI app templates

“We're not actually in the end going to custom write everybody different apps. We know that people asking for vacations are going to want a vacation app and we will have one and we will tailor it to you on the front end.”

Recipe Classify the user's intent into a known category (e.g., trip planner). Instead of generating the application from scratch, load a pre-built HTML/CSS template with standard UI components. Use the LLM strictly to populate the specific data and tailor the front-end logic, preventing the model from hallucinating application structure.

Speaker's word Evidence Speaker's word, not measured.

Counterpoint Most generative UI approaches attempt to write raw code from scratch; this approach treats the LLM as a data-population engine for static templates.

The post-search Google era begins · May 22, 2026

Canvas
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agents

Emergent agent skill synthesis

Hermes Agent uses self-reflection prompts to automatically synthesize and save successful multi-step workflows as reusable skills.

Jeffrey Connell · Co-founder and CTO · Noose Research · Practical AI

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Problem: Hard-coding agent tools is brittle; web environments change, and anticipating every user need requires endless manual tool creation.

On: emergent skill creation via self-reflection

“It notices without you telling it that this is... I've learned there's something important here. And it will create a skill that says how to do a specific thing.”

Recipe Provide minimal hard-coded primitives (code execution, web browsing). Add a self-reflection directive to the system prompt: when the agent achieves a complex goal (e.g., bypassing captchas to find a booking API), it must extract the successful steps and write a reusable 'skill' to its registry for future identical tasks.

Measured Evidence 30-45 mins runtime → instant reuse

Counterpoint Instead of developers writing explicit tools for every API, the agent uses basic web/code primitives to discover the API and writes the tool itself.

Hermes Agent: Agents that grow with you · May 21, 2026

Hermes Agent
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evals

E-values for anytime eval inference

Use e-values instead of p-values to allow continuous peeking and dynamic stopping in evaluation pipelines without breaking statistical guarantees.

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Problem: Classical p-values fail for continuous evaluation; repeatedly peeking at data or stopping early invalidates the statistical guarantees of the evaluation pipeline.

On: anytime inference for continuous evaluation

“e-values are different. It's an expectation of some non-negative random variable or super martingale... By the optional stopping theorem you can stop it whenever you want. So that has opened up a lot of connections... It's called anytime inference.”

Recipe Replace p-values with e-values (the expectation of a non-negative super martingale). Because e-values remain valid under the optional stopping theorem, you can continuously monitor evidence, peek at results, and dynamically gather new data without losing statistical control.

Speaker's word Evidence Speaker's word, not measured.

Counterpoint Standard A/B testing and eval pipelines break if you peek and stop early; e-values mathematically permit continuous monitoring and dynamic stopping.

Intelligence is collective, not artificial — Prof. Michael I. Jordan (UC Berkeley / Inria) · May 21, 2026

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agents

Restricting LLMs to workflow orchestration

Eli Lilly restricts LLMs to generic workflow orchestration, routing actual molecular design to dedicated diffusion and generative flow models.

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Problem: Human language lacks the dimensional complexity to accurately describe cellular biology, making LLMs fundamentally unsuited for direct molecular design or scientific reasoning.

On: routing scientific tasks to physical models

“In Discovery, we are using large language models mostly just to orchestrate work... The complexity of a single cell goes far beyond human language can even describe. So they go beyond these molecular models, diffusion models, generative flow models.”

Recipe Constrain LLMs strictly to generic workflow orchestration and task routing. For actual scientific generation, route requests to domain-specific physical models (diffusion models, generative flow models) that operate beyond language constraints.

Speaker's word Evidence Speaker's word, not measured.

Counterpoint Instead of forcing LLMs to perform scientific reasoning, restrict them to workflow routing and use physical models for the actual science.

Scaling Scientific R&D with AI Supercomputing Infrastructure — with Thomas Fuchs of Eli Lilly · May 19, 2026

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evals

Semantic evals for design agents

Build rigorous evals around component semantics and auto-layout rules to prevent design agents from generating unusable slop.

Dylan Field · CEO · Figma · TBPN

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Problem: Design agents tend to over-complexify outputs or generate "one-shot slop" that looks visually correct but breaks underlying component structures and layout rules.

On: evaluating design agent semantics

“In terms of semantics, I mean, the way that you represent a component or the way you apply auto layout even, these are all examples of things that we've had to get more rigorous around how we build evals”

Recipe Shift the agent's focus from full-page generation to rote tasks (design system maintenance, text translation). Implement strict evals targeting specific design semantics—like how a component is represented and how auto-layout is applied—to ensure the generated output remains usable and moldable.

Speaker's word Evidence Speaker's word, not measured.

Counterpoint Visual similarity is insufficient for design generation; evals must measure structural correctness like auto-layout and component semantics.

Google I/O Reactions, Large IPOs Incoming, Figma's AI Assistant | Dylan Field, Brian Chesky, Feross Aboukhadijeh, Tae Kim, Immad Akhund, Marcus Milione · May 20, 2026

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fine_tuning

GRPO for long-rollout agentic RL

Scale SFT to establish strong priors, then use GRPO to apply relative rewards to full agentic rollouts.

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Problem: In agentic workflows, you only know if the model succeeded at the end of a long rollout. Token-level reward attribution is nearly impossible for multi-step reasoning.

On: simplifying RL for agentic rollouts

“in the open source as well, GRPO seems to be working very well... you sample as many answers as possible and you say which one is correct. So in some way, GRPO is a very simplistic method.”

Recipe For agentic workflows, abandon token-level attribution. Instead, scale SFT to roughly 1 million examples to build strong priors. Then apply GRPO: sample multiple full rollouts from the model and score them relatively against each other to optimize the policy at the sequence level.

Speaker's word Evidence Speaker's word, not measured.

Counterpoint Token-level reward attribution fails on multi-step agent tasks; simple rollout-level sampling (GRPO) scales better once SFT is saturated.

OpenAI's Yann Dubois: Why AI Progress Suddenly Feels Real · May 21, 2026

Kimideep seekGRPOPPODPO
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fine_tuning

High-density mid-training before post-training

Overweight high-quality reasoning data in a mid-training phase to shift the base model's distribution before RL.

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Problem: Pre-training on the entire internet dilutes high-signal reasoning data (GitHub, Wikipedia) with low-quality tokens (ads, forums), making post-training less effective.

On: overweighting high-signal data pre-RL

“In mid-training, we basically overweight this type of high-quality data that we think is more useful for training the final model... Wikipedia or GitHub... there's way more information in there than some random forums.”

Recipe Insert a mid-training phase between standard pre-training and post-training. Take the pre-trained base model and continue training it on a heavily overweighted mix of high-signal data (like code and verified knowledge) while filtering out low-quality internet text. This shifts the model's priors toward reasoning before applying SFT or RL.

Speaker's word Evidence Speaker's word, not measured.

Counterpoint Most teams jump straight from pre-trained base models to SFT; inserting a continuous pre-training step on high-density data improves the base for RL.

OpenAI's Yann Dubois: Why AI Progress Suddenly Feels Real · May 21, 2026

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fine_tuning

Domain-specific RL for coding models

Cursor achieved Pareto dominance by applying 3-4 weeks of reinforcement learning on their proprietary coding dataset over the Kami K.25 base model.

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Problem: Base models plateau on coding tasks and require massive compute to pre-train from scratch to reach the Pareto frontier.

On: reinforcement learning for coding models

“This is three or four weeks of doing reinforcement learning on Colossus 2 with Cursor's data... Composer 2.5 is the same base model as Composer 2, which is Kami K.25... this is Pareto dominant.”

Recipe Instead of pre-training a new model, apply 3-4 weeks of reinforcement learning using a massive proprietary dataset (Cursor's coding data) on top of an existing base model (Kami K.25) to create a Pareto-dominant coding assistant.

Speaker's word Evidence Speaker's word, not measured.

Counterpoint Most teams focus on pre-training or standard SFT; Cursor achieved state-of-the-art purely through targeted RL on an existing base model.

SpaceX's $2T Case, Nvidia's Shock Selloff, America Turns on AI, Trump Pulls AI Order, Bond Crisis? · May 22, 2026

Composer 2.5Composer 2Kami K.25Cursor
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product

Fast models for exploratory flow

Use faster, less capable models for exploratory coding to maintain mental context and prevent over-trusting the AI.

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Problem: Waiting minutes for frontier models breaks developer flow during exploratory work, and highly capable models induce a "slot machine" mentality where developers stop actively thinking.

On: using worse models for exploration

“Maybe using KimiK2 in open code is better than using the most recent version of Claude because again, it can generate nearly to the speed of thought... you trust it less.”

Recipe Swap frontier models for faster, technically "worse" models (like KimiK2) during exploratory notebook work. The near-instant generation preserves context, while the model's known limitations force the developer to remain actively skeptical and engaged in the loop.

Speaker's word Evidence Speaker's word, not measured.

Counterpoint Frontier models are assumed best for all tasks, but their latency breaks flow and their capability breeds dangerous developer complacency.

Agent-Harness.ipynb* · May 20, 2026

KimiK2Claude
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prompting

In-context learning for relational subgraphs

Use a pre-trained relational transformer to perform in-context learning on database subgraphs without gradient updates.

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Problem: Training custom predictive models for thousands of enterprise clients with unique database schemas requires impossible scaling of data science teams.

On: in-context learning for tabular data

“The system now goes into the database. It extracts a set of labeled in-context examples that then get passed through a pre-trained neural network to make a prediction... in a single forward pass.”

Recipe Define the predictive task (e.g., 'predict transaction.isfraud = true'). Extract historical subgraphs of labeled entities from the database to serve as in-context examples. Pass these labeled subgraphs alongside the new unlabeled target subgraph through a frozen pre-trained relational transformer in a single forward pass.

Measured Evidence 5% relative accuracy improvement

Counterpoint Instead of fine-tuning a model per schema, the system uses historical database subgraphs as few-shot prompts for a frozen relational transformer.

Relational Foundation Models for Enterprise Data with Jure Leskovec - #768 · May 21, 2026

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infra

Accelerator-routed decode phase

Extend the useful life of older GPUs by routing the decode phase to domain-specific accelerators.

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Problem: Older GPUs quickly lose viability for modern LLM inference, breaking the 4-6 year amortization schedules required by cloud providers.

On: routing decode to extend GPU life

“You can put whether it's a Grok accelerator, whether it's a Cerebras accelerator in front of old GPUs, use Grok or Cerebras for decode. And then those older GPUs, they have a useful life for 10 or 15 years.”

Recipe Deploy domain-specific accelerators (like Cerebras or Grok chips) at the front of the inference pipeline specifically to handle the decode phase. Route the remaining workload to older GPUs, extending their useful lifespan to 10-15 years.

Measured Evidence 10-15 year useful GPU life

Counterpoint Instead of retiring older GPUs entirely, delegating only the bottleneck (decode) to specialized ASICs keeps the older hardware economically viable.

SpaceX's $2T Case, Nvidia's Shock Selloff, America Turns on AI, Trump Pulls AI Order, Bond Crisis? · May 22, 2026

Cerebras
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agents

Massive multi-agent security harness

Microsoft's Emdash beats single-model approaches by coordinating over 100 specialized agents across a mix of frontier and smaller models.

▾ Show more ▴ Show less

Problem: Single-model approaches to complex cybersecurity tasks struggle to achieve high accuracy and low false-positive rates across diverse vulnerability detection workloads.

On: multi-agent architecture for cybersecurity

“MDash uses more than 100 specialized agents across a mix of frontier and smaller models. In other words, the winning pattern here isn't one giant model doing everything. It's a coordinated team of models doing different jobs well.”

Recipe Deploy a multi-agent harness rather than a single monolithic model. Coordinate over 100 specialized agents, mixing frontier models for complex reasoning tasks with smaller, task-specific models for narrow jobs to optimize overall system performance.

Measured Evidence 88.45% on CyberGym (+5 pts)

Counterpoint Single model purity is less effective than a coordinated team of specialized agents mixing frontier and smaller models.

AI Weekly Briefing: Is NVIDIA Finally Getting Real Competition? · May 21, 2026

MythosEmdash
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Capability Watch

New model behaviors and tool patterns showing up across multiple shows.

agents

Agents shift from monolithic models to specialized multi-agent harnesses

Single-model approaches are plateauing on complex tasks like cybersecurity and coding. Operators are deploying coordinated teams of specialized agents—mixing frontier models for reasoning with smaller models for narrow jobs—to achieve higher accuracy and lower false-positive rates.

evals

Continuous evaluation pipelines adopt anytime inference

Classical p-values break when teams continuously monitor evidence and stop early. Evaluation pipelines are shifting to e-values, which mathematically permit dynamic stopping and continuous peeking without losing statistical control over the results.

fine_tuning

High-density mid-training phases emerge before RL

Pre-training on the entire internet dilutes high-signal reasoning data. Teams are inserting a mid-training phase to overweight verified knowledge and code, shifting the base model's priors toward reasoning before applying reinforcement learning.

Operator Bets

What practitioners are actually shipping with — frameworks, stack picks.

Fine-tuning is for massive-scale classification only

Jeremy Mumford bets that fine-tuning should be strictly reserved for massive-scale classification tasks. Defaulting to off-the-shelf models and prompt engineering prevents custom models from being immediately obsoleted by the next frontier release.

LLMs cannot perform direct scientific reasoning

Thomas Fuchs bets that LLMs are fundamentally unsuited for direct scientific reasoning due to language constraints. Eli Lilly restricts them strictly to generic workflow orchestration, routing actual molecular design to domain-specific physical models.

Fast models preserve exploratory developer flow

Vincent Warmerdam bets that faster, technically inferior models are better for exploratory coding. Near-instant generation preserves developer flow while known model limitations force the human to remain actively skeptical.

Stack Drops

Tools, libraries, and infra dropping into operator workflows now.

Strata

Open-source intermediate representation that translates Python, Java, and Rust into Lean for formal verification.

Canvas

Intent-classification system that loads pre-built UI templates and uses LLMs solely to populate data.

From the Conversations

The MAD Podcast with Matt Turck

RL over SFT for hallucination reduction

OpenAI's Yann Dubois: Why AI Progress Suddenly Feels Real

May 21, 2026 · 1h 13m · 3quotes pulled

“SFT is going to force like Hallucination, while in reinforcement learning given that... you kind of sample from the model in the first place, extremely unlikely that it's sample something that it doesn't know and it's correct.”

Yann Dubois · Co-leads Post-Training Frontiers · OpenAI
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Vanishing Gradients

Environment-specific agent linters

Agent-Harness.ipynb*

May 20, 2026 · 1h 19m · 2quotes pulled

“what if we make a linter? And the whole point of the linter is it's going to be super Marimo-specific... that solved about 60% of all the problems.”

Vincent Warmerdam · Engineer · Marimo
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The TWIML AI Podcast (formerly This Week in Machine Learning & Artificial Intelligence)

In-context learning for relational subgraphs

Relational Foundation Models for Enterprise Data with Jure Leskovec - #768

May 21, 2026 · 1h 5m · 2quotes pulled

“The system now goes into the database. It extracts a set of labeled in-context examples that then get passed through a pre-trained neural network to make a prediction... in a single forward pass.”

Jure Leskovec · Co-founder & Chief Scientist · Kumo
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Sources

  • Vanishing Gradients

    Agent-Harness.ipynb*

    <p>One thing that I don’t like about Claude is that you get into this weird mental state: oh, I think I trust the model. Let’s do the slot machine. Hit click, which puts you in an inactive mode of thinking.  Maybe it’s better to use a worse model….</p><p><strong>Vincent Warmerdam</strong>, senior data professional and prolific open-source maintainer (some packages with over a million downloads), now Engineer at <strong>marimo</strong>, joins Hugo to talk about how the Python notebook is evolving from a static scratchpad into a working agent harness, and what it takes to stay in the loop as a developer when agents are writing most of the code. This episode was originally a livestream Q&A with the Vanishing Gradients audience.</p><p><strong>We Discuss:</strong></p><p>* <strong>Shared Notebook Canvas</strong>: Notebooks act as a <strong>shared memory space</strong> where agents and humans co-exist, enabling <strong>real-time visual feedback</strong> by direct manipulation of <strong>global state</strong> and <strong>UI elements</strong>;</p><p>* <strong>Speed-of-Thought Models</strong>: Faster, <strong>open-weight models</strong> like <strong>Kimi K2</strong> enhance <strong>exploratory flow</strong> by keeping humans more alert to the code, unlike <strong>frontier models</strong> that can induce passive thinking;</p><p>* <strong>Pi as a Harness</strong>: Vincent favors an agent harness where agents <strong>extend themselves</strong> rather than reach for <strong>MCP</strong>, and where <strong>hooks</strong> can rigidly constrain which files an agent is allowed to read or touch;</p><p>* <strong>Why PRDs Don’t Fit Notebooks</strong>: Notebook work is fundamentally exploratory, so the discipline that works for shipping web apps does not transfer cleanly; the one exception is reproducing a paper;</p><p>* <strong>Interactive Code Review</strong>: <strong>Interactive UIs</strong> (e.g., dragging integers) transform code into a <strong>physical object</strong>, incentivizing developers to actively <strong>review</strong> and understand agent logic;</p><p>* <strong>Modular “Lego” Components</strong>: Provide agents with <strong>high-level, well-tested components</strong> (”Lego” code) instead of raw boilerplate, creating systems that are easier to <strong>debug</strong> and <strong>modulate</strong>;</p><p>* <strong>Algorithm-Driven Visualization</strong>: Let the <strong>algorithm dictate the visualization</strong> needed, rather than choosing visualizations first, revealing the most interesting structures within the data;</p><p>* <strong>Don’t Outsource the Thinking</strong>: <strong>Pen and paper</strong> architectural planning, walks away from the keyboard, and protecting <strong>calm</strong> remain the most effective ways to keep producing good ideas in the age of AI-generated software.</p><p>* <strong>Agent Auto-Healing</strong>: A marimo-specific <strong>linter</strong> solved <strong>60% of agent errors overnight</strong> by letting agents diagnose and fix their own “slop” without complex prompt engineering;</p><p>* <strong>Incremental Generation</strong>: Avoid monolithic LLM outputs; generate code <strong>one to two cells at a time</strong> to prevent laziness and ensure human oversight and learning;</p><p>Vincent closes on the idea that calm, not the latest frontier model, is the most underrated tool for building well, and that we should study LLM output the way chess players studied the engines that beat them.</p><p>Vincent gives several live demos toward the end of the episode. He describes them well enough to follow on audio, but the visuals are worth seeing, <a target="_blank" href="https://youtu.be/h4C4JtqxnaQ">so check out the YouTube version here</a>.</p><p>You can also find the full episode on <a target="_blank" href="https://open.spotify.com/show/3yuz89gqAhcMcdy3SZPe4X">Spotify</a>, <a target="_blank" href="https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/vanishing-gradients/id1610318868">Apple Podcasts</a>, and <a target="_blank" href="https://www.youtube.com/live/d4wGcjvXJh0?si=KqnDitiao5XBHFAP">YouTube</a>.</p><p><a target="_blank" href="https://notebooklm.google.com/notebook/9e160f54-1a80-4676-903c-e89890e551ea">You can also interact directly with the transcript here in NotebookLM</a>: If you do so, let us know anything you find in the comments!</p><p>👉 <strong>Want to learn how to apply agentic engineering to the world of data science</strong>? Come build the future of <a target="_blank" href="https://vanishinggradients.short.gy/data-science-agentic"><strong>Agentic Data Science</strong></a> with us in our upcoming course. It’s a live cohort with hands on exercises, capstones, and reusable agent skills, OSS code, and notebooks that will 10x your data science projects. <a target="_blank" href="https://vanishinggradients.short.gy/data-science-agentic"><strong>Sign up here and use the code ADSVG10 for 10% off</strong></a>.👈</p><p>Also join us for Ep. 3<strong> of </strong><strong>Show Us Your Agent Skills</strong><strong>:</strong> <strong>with Vincent, Paul Iusztin (Decoding AI), Eleanor Berger (Elite AI-Assisted Coding), Alan Nichol (Rasa), Nico Gerold (amp), </strong>and<strong> Matthew Honnibal (spaCy, Explosion).</strong></p><p> <a target="_blank" href="https://luma.com/le3m0pni"><strong>Register on lu.ma to join live, or catch the recording afterwards.</strong></a></p><p>LINKS</p><p>* <a target="_blank" href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/vincentwarmerdam/">Vincent Warmerdam on LinkedIn</a></p><p>* <a target="_blank" href="https://koaning.io/">Vincent’s website (koaning.io)</a></p><p>* <a target="_blank" href="https://koaning.github.io/wigglystuff/">Wiggly Stuff — Vincent’s widget library</a></p><p>* <a target="_blank" href="https://marimo.io/gallery">Marimo Gallery</a></p><p>* <a target="_blank" href="https://skills.sh/">skills.sh</a></p><p>* <a target="_blank" href="https://lucumr.pocoo.org/2026/1/31/pi/">Armin Ronacher on Pi (the minimal agent inside open claw)</a></p><p>* <a target="_blank" href="https://hugobowne.substack.com/p/building-agents-that-build-themselves">Building Agents That Build Themselves — Hugo’s workshop write-up with Ivan Leo</a></p><p>* <a target="_blank" href="https://hugobowne.substack.com/p/data-science-fiction-winning-at-metrics">Data Science Fiction: Winning at Metrics, Losing at AI Evals — Hugo’s blog post based on Vincent’s talk</a></p><p>* <a target="_blank" href="https://x.com/isaac_flath/status/2048462111567982823">Isaac Flath’s project (on X)</a></p><p>* <a target="_blank" href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Braid_(video_game)">Braid (video game)</a></p><p>* <a target="_blank" href="https://hugobowne.substack.com/p/episode-49-why-data-and-ai-still-9da">Hugo’s earlier podcast with Akshay (marimo)</a></p><p>* <a target="_blank" href="https://maven.com/agentic-ventures/ai-coding?promoCode=HUGO">Elite AI Assisted Coding — Eleanor Berger’s course (Vanishing Gradients community gets 25% off with code “HUGO”)</a></p><p>* <a target="_blank" href="https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCqJ-Xo29CKyLTjn6z2XwYAw">GameMakers Toolkit (YouTube)</a></p><p>* <a target="_blank" href="https://luma.com/calendar/cal-8ImWFDQ3IEIxNWk">Upcoming Events on Luma</a></p><p>* <a target="_blank" href="https://www.youtube.com/@vanishinggradients">Vanishing Gradients on YouTube</a></p><p>* Come build the future of <a target="_blank" href="https://vanishinggradients.short.gy/data-science-agentic">Agentic Data Science</a> with us in our upcoming course (10% off) .</p><p><strong>How You Can Support Vanishing Gradients</strong></p><p>Vanishing Gradients is a podcast, workshop series, blog, and newsletter focused on what you can build with AI right now. Over 70 episodes with expert practitioners from Google DeepMind, Netflix, Stanford, and elsewhere. Hundreds of hours of free, hands-on workshops. All independent, all free.</p><p>If you want to help keep it going:</p><p>* <a target="_blank" href="https://hugobowne.substack.com/subscribe">Become a paid subscriber, from $8/month</a></p><p>* Share this with a builder who’d find it useful</p><p>* <a target="_blank" href="https://www.youtube.com/@vanishinggradients">Subscribe to our YouTube channel.</a></p> <br/><br/>Get full access to Vanishing Gradients at <a href="https://hugobowne.substack.com/subscribe?utm_medium=podcast&#38;utm_campaign=CTA_4">hugobowne.substack.com/subscribe</a>

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  • The MAD Podcast with Matt Turck

    OpenAI's Yann Dubois: Why AI Progress Suddenly Feels Real

    <p>What actually goes into pushing the boundaries of post-training and reinforcement learning for frontier models like GPT 5.5? In this episode of The MAD Podcast, Matt Turck sits down with Yann Dubois, lead of OpenAI’s Post-Training Frontiers team, to unpack how reinforcement learning has evolved beyond verifiable math and coding competitions to actively optimize for messy, real-world utility. They explore the delicate balance of test-time compute and model efficiency, the growing challenge of building open-ended AI evaluations, and why the ultimate opportunity for startups lies in mastering &quot;last mile&quot; application harnesses rather than competing on horizontal capabilities.</p><p><br></p><p>(00:00)44 - Cold open</p><p>(00:34) - Intro</p><p>(01:30) - Why recent AI progress feels like a step function</p><p>(04:13) - Model reliability &amp; the rollercoaster of shipping 5.5</p><p>(07:33) - How OpenAI structures vertical and horizontal teams</p><p>(09:49) - Improving model efficiency and test-time compute</p><p>(12:32) - Yann Dubois&#39; journey from Switzerland to OpenAI</p><p>(15:37) - Reasoning in 2026: Real-world utility vs verifiable rewards</p><p>(18:34) - GPT-5.5 Thinking vs Pro: Scaling test-time compute</p><p>(20:09) - How reasoning models become more efficient</p><p>(23:23) - Pre-training scaling and overcoming the data wall</p><p>(27:03) - Multimodal data, synthetic data, and embodied AI</p><p>(31:05) - Demystifying mid-training and post-training</p><p>(37:21) - Does RL create new capabilities in AI?</p><p>(38:53) - The challenges and frontier of scaling RL</p><p>(43:09) - Is building AI models a craft or a strict science?</p><p>(48:21) - How AI models generalize across different domains</p><p>(54:18) - How reinforcement learning cures AI hallucinations</p><p>(56:04) - Negative generalization and conflicting instructions</p><p>(58:05) - Can RL scale to law, medicine, and the broader economy?</p><p>(1:00:19) - The evaluation bottleneck and Model as a Judge</p><p>(1:04:21) - Continuous AI progress &amp; continual learning</p><p>(1:08:49) - Will foundation models eat the agent harness?</p><p>(1:11:23) - Why startups should focus on the last mile of AI</p>

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  • The TWIML AI Podcast (formerly This Week in Machine Learning & Artificial Intelligence)

    Relational Foundation Models for Enterprise Data with Jure Leskovec - #768

    In this episode, Jure Leskovec, co-founder and chief scientist at Kumo and professor of computer science at Stanford, joins us to explore two fronts of his work: AI for science and relational deep learning. We begin with AI Virtual Cell, a multiscale effort to learn data-driven representations from proteins to cells to patients using single-cell RNA-seq data, protein language models like ESM, and structure models like AlphaFold—without hand-encoding biology. Jure then dives into relational deep learning, reframing enterprise databases as graphs and training neural networks directly on raw multi-table data. He explains Kumo’s Relational Foundation Model (RFM2), which performs in-context learning over subgraphs to make accurate predictions on new databases and tasks with no training, and how this approach benchmarks against RelBench and other multi-table datasets. We also discuss real-world deployments at companies like Reddit, DoorDash, and Coinbase, explainability via attention over tables and columns, integration with agentic systems, deployment options, and practical limitations. The complete show notes for this episode can be found at https://twimlai.com/go/768.

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  • Training Data

    Rebuilding IT From the Ground Up for the AI Age: Serval's Jake Stauch

    Jake Stauch, founder and CEO of Serval, is building a ServiceNow for the AI era. His most contrarian bet is that the product should look like boring old enterprise software, but with unlimited intelligence. Serval's architecture splits work between two agents: an admin agent that uses code generation to spin up workflows from natural language, and a help desk agent that can only act through the tools admins explicitly approve. Jake explains why his team uses OpenAI models for end-user interaction and Anthropic models for code generation, why new model releases sometimes have to be rolled back when prompt tuning breaks, and why he's not worried the foundation labs will come downmarket. He also makes the case for "fewer, better" hiring as the only durable moat in a world where products may need to be rebuilt every six months. Hosted by Pat Grady, Sequoia Capital

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  • Super Data Science: ML & AI Podcast with Jon Krohn

    993: How to Build AI-First Organizations, with Jacob Miller and Jeremy Mumford

    For years, AI content has come in the form of “use this library, use this tool” tutorials that age out within months. Jacob Miller and Jeremy Mumford, co-authors of the brand new Wiley book Architected Intelligence, wanted to write something different, a guide to the higher-level principles of building AI products and AI-first organizations that will still be relevant in five or ten years. In this episode, the two Pattern engineers walk Jon Krohn through the core ideas of their book: why you should design products and processes so they can be executed by a human, an AI agent, or any hybrid combination; why most companies are still treating hallucinations as a model problem when they’re actually a data curation problem; why the natural progression of AI development goes skills, workflows, agents, not straight to agents; and why velocity, not models or data, is the only durable competitive advantage left. Additional materials: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.superdatascience.com/993⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Interested in sponsoring a SuperDataScience Podcast episode? Email natalie@superdatascience.com for sponsorship information. In this episode you will learn: (10:06) The User Agnosticism Tenet (20:02) The Zillow Offers parable (23:25) Why workflows should come before agents (29:57) Why data engineering is the bedrock of AI (52:41) Why velocity is the only durable moat

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  • Software Engineering Daily

    Formal Methods as Agent Guardrails

    Formal methods are a branch of mathematics and computer science focused on proving the correctness of systems, and they have long promised a more rigorous foundation for software. However, their complexity has kept them confined to a small community of specialists. That is now changing as agentic AI systems take on increasingly autonomous roles. The

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  • The AI in Business Podcast

    Scaling Scientific R&D with AI Supercomputing Infrastructure — with Thomas Fuchs of Eli Lilly

    <div>A growing share of pharmaceutical innovation is now constrained not by scientific imagination, but by the infrastructure required to support AI at scale. In this episode of the AI in Business podcast, Thomas Fuchs, Chief AI Officer at Eli Lilly & Company, joins Matthew DeMello to explore how Lilly's new AI supercomputing platform is reshaping scientific discovery and enterprise operations. The conversation examines how large-scale computing enables more advanced models, secure and usable data environments, and faster scientific iteration across the organization. Learn how brands work with Emerj and other Emerj Media options at <a href= "https://emerj.com/advertise/?utm_source=aihl&utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=media_kit"> go.emerj.com/partner</a></div>

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  • Unsupervised Learning with Jacob Effron

    Ep 87: Gemini Co-Lead on World Models, RL's Next Domains & Continual Learning

    Oriol Vinyals, VP of Research at Google DeepMind and co-lead of the Gemini program, joins Jacob the day after Google I/O to unpack the research underpinning Google's latest announcements and where frontier AI is heading. The conversation moves from world models (why Google has uniquely bet on them as a path to AGI, what the "GPT moment" for video and images would look like, and how they connect to robotics and simulation) to agents (the Spark release, why the system and model need to be optimized jointly, and why scaffolding will eventually be written by models themselves). Oriol gets into the mechanics of memory in models, drawing on his cognitive neuroscience background to argue that file-system-style non-parametric memory is more practical than baking memory into weights at serving scale. He shares his views on the limits of RL today (LLMs are data-limited in a way that game-playing RL never was), why training on narrow domains like math and code generalizes surprisingly well, and what a true "Move 37" moment for science or ML research would look like. Throughout, he reflects on the unique advantages of being inside Google (TPU co-design, end-to-end revenue stability, the merger of Brain and DeepMind), the trade-offs between focus and exploration in research orgs, and why he believes AGI in some meaningful sense may already be here, even if the goalposts keep moving.

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  • The Vergecast

    The post-search Google era begins

    Before we get into this week's tech news, we have some corporate news to discuss, and some very exciting Vergecast news to share. (If you have questions about either one, hit us up: vergecast@theverge.com or 866-VERGE11!) Then, Nilay and David get back into the weeds on all things Google I/O, and in particular the ways AI is changing the Google Search experience. When Gemini can find things for you, make things for you, even buy things for you, are you even searching anymore? Finally, in the lightning round, it's time for the Hype Desk, Brendan Carr is a Dummy, SpaceX, the Trump Phone, and some very confusing social networks. Further reading: The future of Google is a search box that does everything  Google is building a ‘universal’ AI shopping cart that tracks prices, offers suggestions, and finds discounts  Demis Hassabis said this might be the ‘foothills of the singularity.’ What?  Google is trying to make deepfake detection more accessible  Google Search’s AI evolution includes more ads  Google’s AI future demands trust — and your personal data  Why does the Googlebook exist? The FCC voted to ‘streamline’ tracking US broadband quality. In SpaceX’s IPO, Elon Musk is the risk factor Spotify is verifying podcasts made by real people too. NBC just got the Trump phone. Subscribe to The Verge for unlimited access to theverge.com, subscriber-exclusive newsletters, and our ad-free podcast feed.We love hearing from you! Email your questions and thoughts to vergecast@theverge.com or call us at 866-VERGE11. (Timestamps are approximate.) 00:00:00 Intro 00:02:00 Vox Media Sale 00:08:00 What Changes for The Verge 00:12:00 Vergecast Goes Daily 00:18:00 Feedback and Launch Details 00:23:00 Google I O Vibe Check 00:24:00 Agents Everywhere at Google 00:25:00 Search Becomes the Platform 00:26:00 Singularity Talk Whiplash 00:31:00 Monetizing AI and Google Zero 00:37:00 Shopping Web Takes Over 00:39:00 Agents Replace Browsing 00:43:00 Canvas Makes Apps 00:49:00 Google Book Devices Pitch 00:51:00 Agents Break App Economics 00:53:00 Traffic Deal Is Over 01:01:00 Hype Desk Forza Horizon 6 01:07:00 Subnautica 2 Surprise Hit 01:11:00 Brendan Carr is a Dummy 01:14:00 Broadband Map Complaints 01:21:00 Spotify AI Whiplash 01:25:00 Deepfake Detection Reality 01:30:00 SpaceX IPO Breakdown 01:34:00 Trump Phone In Wild 01:37:00 Wrap Up And Plugs Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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  • Practical AI

    Hermes Agent: Agents that grow with you

    <p>Open Source AI is entering a new era, one shaped by self-improving AI Agents, recursive learning systems, and rapidly evolving AI Tools that blur the line between software and autonomous collaborators. In this episode, Daniel and Chris sit down with Nous Research co-founder and CTO Jeffrey Quesnelle to explore Hermes Agent. Along the way, they discuss models vs. harnesses, the changing role of developers, and one of the biggest questions facing the AI Future: what remains uniquely human as AI capabilities continue to accelerate?</p><p>Featuring:</p><ul><li>Jeffrey Quesnelle – <a href="https://jeffq.com/">Website</a>, <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/jeffrey-quesnelle-2490a524/">LinkedIn</a></li><li>Chris Benson – <a href="https://chrisbenson.com/">Website</a>, <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/chrisbenson">LinkedIn</a>, <a href="https://bsky.app/profile/chrisbenson.bsky.social">Bluesky</a>, <a href="https://github.com/chrisbenson">GitHub</a>, <a href="https://x.com/chrisbenson">X</a></li><li>Daniel Whitenack – <a href="https://www.datadan.io/">Website</a>, <a href="https://github.com/dwhitena">GitHub</a>, <a href="https://x.com/dwhitena">X</a></li></ul><p>Links:</p><ul><li><a href="https://nousresearch.com/">Nous Research</a></li><li><a href="https://hermes-agent.nousresearch.com/">Hermes Agent</a></li></ul><p>Sponsors:</p><ul><li><strong>Framer: </strong>The enterprise-grade website builder that lets your team ship faster. Get 30% off at <a href="http://framer.com/practicalai">framer.com/practicalai</a></li><li><strong>Prediction Guard: </strong>A self-hosted AI control plane for running agents in high impact environments. <a href="https://predictionguard.com/practicalai">predictionguard.com/practicalai</a></li></ul><p>Upcoming Events: </p><ul><li>Register for <a href="https://practicalai.fm/webinars">upcoming webinars here</a>!</li><li><a href="https://midwestaisummit.com/">Midwest AI Summit 2026</a></li></ul>

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  • Machine Learning Street Talk (MLST)

    Intelligence is collective, not artificial — Prof. Michael I. Jordan (UC Berkeley / Inria)

    <p>Michael I. Jordan, described by Science magazine as the most influential computer scientist alive, has never thought of himself as an AI researcher. In this conversation he explains why that distinction matters.</p><p><br></p><p>SPONSOR:</p><p>---</p><p>Cyber Fund built the Monastery to help founders ship products that were impossible a year ago. Applications for Batch 1 are now open.</p><p>Apply now: https://cyber.fund</p><p>---</p><p><br></p><p>Jordan trained as a statistician and cognitive scientist, and his career has been spent building machine learning systems that work in the real world: supply chains, commerce, healthcare, and large economic systems. When the field rebranded itself as AI and then AGI, he did not follow. Instead he argues that the framing is wrong. AI is better understood as a collective economic system than as a race to build a disembodied superintelligence.</p><p><br></p><p>We talk about why AGI is mostly a PR term, what machine learning achieved before the LLM hype cycle, and why the assistant-on-your-shoulder vision may be less compelling than it sounds. Jordan explains why explanations need to be actionable, not merely mechanistic; why AlphaFold&#39;s missing error bars matter; how prediction-powered inference changes the picture; and why drug discovery is an incentive-design problem rather than a pure pattern-matching problem.</p><p><br></p><p>ERRATA: Science magazine ranked him the most influential computer scientist, not Nature</p><p><br></p><p>---</p><p>TIMESTAMPS:</p><p>00:00:00 Cold open: A demoralizing message to young builders</p><p>00:02:04 CyberFund sponsor read</p><p>00:02:50 From symbolic AI to machine learning systems</p><p>00:05:42 Why AGI is mostly a PR term</p><p>00:08:48 A collectivist, economic perspective on AI</p><p>00:11:33 Why LLMs need system design, not hype</p><p>00:14:50 Predictability beats faux understanding</p><p>00:17:55 AlphaFold, bias, and prediction-powered inference</p><p>00:21:48 Stop anthropomorphizing intelligence</p><p>00:27:44 Drug discovery as an incentive problem</p><p>00:32:29 The three-layer data market</p><p>00:38:07 Social knowledge, markets, and culture</p><p>00:45:39 Creator economics beyond Spotify</p><p>00:48:30 How science-fiction AI narratives mislead young builders</p><p>00:51:45 AI should improve humans, not replace them</p><p>00:56:42 Safety is a property of the whole system</p><p>00:58:12 Silicon Valley gurus and the cream off the top</p><p>01:00:47 Game theory, mechanism design, and contracts</p><p>01:04:39 Conformal prediction, e-values, and anytime inference</p><p>01:08:11 A new liberal arts triangle for the AI era</p><p>01:11:30 The Bayesian duck and markets as uncertainty reduction</p><p><br></p><p>ReScript (transcript, PDF, refs etc) - <a href="https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=comments&redir_token=QUFFLUhqazVER09RT0JfODhlN3RBS19mQm1SU0ZXZElRQXxBQ3Jtc0tucnR5SUZBZm5HN2NSLU01U2tYbDVJMlAzMXNhZHVmZmZGZ2J2QjBhcXFyZC1KNC1xS2U2ZjJ5b0JyOWd0UXoxbmxiWFd5TE1JZDlyMXNLLXZtUFAwTzRMaGNLNklrbERtM0lYRWtCTUlaNTk0WTRDWQ&q=https%3A%2F%2Fapp.rescript.info%2Fpublic%2Fshare%2Ffb68f94af29d3745c6cf6125e01328b5" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">https://app.rescript.info/public/share/fb68f94af29d3745c6cf6125e01328b5</a></p><p>---</p><p>REFERENCES:</p><p>person:</p><p>[00:02:50] Michael I. Jordan (homepage)</p><p>https://people.eecs.berkeley.edu/~jordan/</p><p>paper:</p><p>[00:06:01] A Collectivist, Economic Perspective on AI</p><p>https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.06268</p><p>[00:18:09] AlphaFold</p><p>https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-021-03819-2</p><p>[00:20:36] Prediction-Powered Inference</p><p>https://arxiv.org/abs/2301.09633</p><p>[00:33:47] On Three-Layer Data Markets</p><p>https://arxiv.org/abs/2402.09697</p><p>[01:04:39] Conformal Prediction with Conditional Guarantees</p><p>https://arxiv.org/abs/2107.07511</p><p>[01:04:51] A Tutorial on Conformal Prediction</p><p>https://www.jmlr.org/papers/v9/shafer08a.html</p><p>[01:06:00] E-Values Expand the Scope of Conformal Prediction</p><p>https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.13050</p><p>[01:08:23] Computational Thinking</p><p>https://www.cs.cmu.edu/~CompThink/papers/Wing06.pdf</p><p>other:</p><p>[00:28:20] How Should the FDA Test?</p><p>https://rdi.berkeley.edu/events/sbc-assets/pdfs/Summit%20session%20speaker%20slides%20submission%20form-s1-5%20%28File%20responses%29/Slides%20in%20PDF%20%28Please%20name%20the%20submitted%20file%20as%20_firstname_-_lastname_-slides.pdf%29.%20%28File%20responses%29/27-Michael%20Jordan-Session%20V.pdf#page=15</p><p>[00:28:40] Michael I. Jordan Session V Slides</p><p>&lt;truncated, see ReScript link or YT VD&gt;</p>

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  • TBPN

    Google I/O Reactions, Large IPOs Incoming, Figma's AI Assistant | Dylan Field, Brian Chesky, Feross Aboukhadijeh, Tae Kim, Immad Akhund, Marcus Milione

    <p></p><ul><li>(01:25) - Google I/O Reactions </li> <li>(25:45) - SpaceX IPO </li> <li>(28:17) - Dylan Field, CEO and founder of Figma, discusses the impact of AI on design, emphasizing the importance of maintaining a balanced perspective amidst rapid technological changes. He introduces Figma's Design Agent, an AI tool designed to assist designers by automating routine tasks, thereby allowing them to focus on more creative aspects of their work. Field also highlights the significance of integrating design and code representations, aiming to eliminate false trade-offs between direct manipulation and AI-driven processes. </li> <li>(48:30) - Feross Aboukhadijeh is an entrepreneur and programmer, known for founding Socket, a developer-first security platform that safeguards software supply chains. In the conversation, he discusses Socket's recent $60 million Series C funding at a $1 billion valuation, the escalating challenges in software supply chain security due to increased code generation by AI and the exploitation of open-source dependencies, and introduces "certified patches," a solution designed to efficiently address vulnerabilities in open-source code. </li> <li>(58:55) - Tae Kim, a seasoned finance professional and Senior Portfolio Strategist at Rockefeller Capital Management, discusses the robust growth and undervaluation of NVIDIA, the strategic challenges facing Google in AI, and the potential market impact of SpaceX's anticipated IPO. </li> <li>(01:26:55) - Immad Akhund, a British-Pakistani entrepreneur and angel investor, is the co-founder and CEO of Mercury, a fintech platform serving startups. In the conversation, he announces Mercury's recent $200 million funding round led by TCV, discusses the company's significant growth driven by AI-driven business formations, and highlights the increasing role of large language model (LLM) recommendations in attracting new customers. </li> <li>(01:38:35) - 𝕏 Timeline Reactions </li> <li>(01:44:23) - Brian Chesky, co-founder and CEO of Airbnb, discusses the company's recent expansion into new services, including grocery delivery, airport pickups, car rentals, and boutique hotel bookings. He explains that these additions aim to enhance the guest experience by offering greater convenience and a more comprehensive travel ecosystem. Chesky also highlights the company's efforts to rebuild its foundation to support these services and emphasizes the importance of listening to customer feedback to drive innovation. </li> <li>(02:04:27) - Marcus Milione, founder of Minted New York, transitioned from a career in commercial real estate to establish a brand that blends premium menswear, performance athletic apparel, endurance nutrition, and Italian-crafted jewelry. In the conversation, he discusses his journey from posting fashion and fitness content on social media during the COVID-19 pandemic to building a community-driven brand, emphasizing the importance of organic growth, customer engagement, and maintaining authenticity in product development. </li> <li>(02:28:41) - 𝕏 Timeline Reactions</li> </ul><p><br></p><p>Follow TBPN: </p><p>https://TBPN.com</p><p>https://x.com/tbpn</p><p>https://open.spotify.com/show/2L6WMqY3GUPCGBD0dX6p00?si=674252d53acf4231</p><p>https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/technology-brothers/id1772360235</p><p>https://www.youtube.com/@TBPNLive</p>

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  • All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

    SpaceX's $2T Case, Nvidia's Shock Selloff, America Turns on AI, Trump Pulls AI Order, Bond Crisis?

    <p>(0:00) Gavin Baker joins the show!</p> <p>(0:30) Andrej Karpathy joins Anthropic; hypergrowth and profitability</p> <p>(12:42) Why Americans have turned on AI, anti-human perception</p> <p>(27:22) Trump pulls AI EO, US-China AI relationship, dystopian AI layoffs</p> <p>(45:19) SpaceX S-1 tear down! Breaking down the three major businesses and the case for a $2T valuation</p> <p>(1:11:22) Nvidia smashes earnings but stock falls, why people are shorting chips</p> <p>(1:22:25) Market update: Flashing red signals, oil, inflation, yields up</p> <p>(1:32:45) China trip flops, or was progress made behind the scenes?</p> <p>Follow Gavin Baker:</p> <p><a href= "https://x.com/GavinSBaker">https://x.com/GavinSBaker</a></p> <p>Apply for Summit 2026:</p> <p><a href= "https://allin.com/events">https://allin.com/events</a></p> <p>Follow the besties:</p> <p><a href="https://x.com/chamath">https://x.com/chamath</a></p> <p><a href="https://x.com/Jason">https://x.com/Jason</a></p> <p><a href= "https://x.com/DavidSacks">https://x.com/DavidSacks</a></p> <p><a href= "https://x.com/friedberg">https://x.com/friedberg</a></p> <p>Follow on X:</p> <p><a href= "https://x.com/theallinpod">https://x.com/theallinpod</a></p> <p>Follow on Instagram:</p> <p><a href= "https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod">https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod</a></p> <p>Follow on TikTok:</p> <p><a href= "https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod">https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod</a></p> <p>Follow on LinkedIn:</p> <p><a href= "https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod">https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod</a></p> <p>Intro Music Credit:</p> <p><a href="https://rb.gy/tppkzl">https://rb.gy/tppkzl</a></p> <p><a href= "https://x.com/yung_spielburg">https://x.com/yung_spielburg</a></p> <p>Intro Video Credit:</p> <p><a href= "https://x.com/TheZachEffect">https://x.com/TheZachEffect</a></p> <p>Referenced in the show:</p> <p><a href= "https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/19/anthropic-hires-openai-cofounder-andrej-karpathy-former-tesla-ai-lead.html"> https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/19/anthropic-hires-openai-cofounder-andrej-karpathy-former-tesla-ai-lead.html</a></p> <p><a href= "https://github.com/karpathy/autoresearch">https://github.com/karpathy/autoresearch</a></p> <p><a href= "https://github.com/multica-ai/andrej-karpathy-skills/stargazers">https://github.com/multica-ai/andrej-karpathy-skills/stargazers</a></p> <p><a href= "https://techcrunch.com/2026/05/19/openai-co-founder-andrej-karpathy-joins-anthropics-pre-training-team"> https://techcrunch.com/2026/05/19/openai-co-founder-andrej-karpathy-joins-anthropics-pre-training-team</a></p> <p><a href= "https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/mind-blowing-growth-is-about-to-propel-anthropic-into-its-first-profitable-quarter-7edbf2f4"> https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/mind-blowing-growth-is-about-to-propel-anthropic-into-its-first-profitable-quarter-7edbf2f4</a></p> <p><a href= "https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1dxYljYVREYJX">https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1dxYljYVREYJX</a></p> <p><a href= "https://apnews.com/article/trump-ai-executive-order-ee318f35acc8a2c43e47f3ebf26cb459"> https://apnews.com/article/trump-ai-executive-order-ee318f35acc8a2c43e47f3ebf26cb459</a></p> <p><a href= "https://x.com/wallstengine/status/2057378437485216031">https://x.com/wallstengine/status/2057378437485216031</a></p> <p><a href= "https://x.com/MorePerfectUS/status/2056842597117636890">https://x.com/MorePerfectUS/status/2056842597117636890</a></p> <p><a href= "https://x.com/lulumeservey/status/2057239284487201043">https://x.com/lulumeservey/status/2057239284487201043</a></p> <p><a href= "https://polymarket.com/event/spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-above">https://polymarket.com/event/spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-above</a></p> <p><a href= "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2057228707606196434">https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2057228707606196434</a></p> <p><a href= "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1181412/000162828026036936/spaceexplorationtechnologi.htm"> https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1181412/000162828026036936/spaceexplorationtechnologi.htm</a></p> <p><a href= "https://s201.q4cdn.com/141608511/files/doc_financials/2027/Q127/NVDA-F1Q27-Quarterly-Presentation-FINAL.pdf"> https://s201.q4cdn.com/141608511/files/doc_financials/2027/Q127/NVDA-F1Q27-Quarterly-Presentation-FINAL.pdf</a></p> <p><a href= "https://www.ibtimes.co.uk/leopold-aschenbrenner-investment-shift-agi-over-ai-chips-1797606"> https://www.ibtimes.co.uk/leopold-aschenbrenner-investment-shift-agi-over-ai-chips-1797606</a></p> <p><a href= "https://polymarket.com/event/may-inflation-us-annual">https://polymarket.com/event/may-inflation-us-annual</a></p> <p><a href= "https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/15/inflation-rate-projected-to-hit-6percent-in-the-second-quarter-top-economic-forecasters-say.html"> https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/15/inflation-rate-projected-to-hit-6percent-in-the-second-quarter-top-economic-forecasters-say.html</a></p> <p><a href= "https://polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-hike-in-2026">https://polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-hike-in-2026</a></p> <p><a href= "https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/18/treasury-yields-inflation-bond-rout-oil.html"> https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/18/treasury-yields-inflation-bond-rout-oil.html</a></p> <p><a href= "https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US10Y">https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US10Y</a></p>

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  • The AI Breakdown

    AI Weekly Briefing: Is NVIDIA Finally Getting Real Competition?

    Cerebras went public at a $95 billion market cap, the biggest tech IPO since Snowflake and the first pure-play AI hardware listing of this cycle. The reference point for every NVIDIA challenger just got a lot more expensive. Plus, Anthropic's reportedly closing a $30 billion raise at a $900 billion valuation, which puts it level with OpenAI and ends the smaller-alternative framing for good. Cisco posted record AI orders and announced 4,000 layoffs in the same week, which is starting to feel like the new normal.  Notion is pitching itself as an agent hub rather than a documents tool. And Microsoft's M-DASH multi-agent system beat Anthropic on a cybersecurity benchmark using more than 100 coordinated agents, which suggests the winning pattern isn't one giant model. It's a team of smaller ones doing specific jobs well. We'll also touch on Anthropic going downmarket with Claude for Small Business, Boomi's on-prem agent runtime aimed at regulated buyers, and why Mustafa Suleyman's claim that AI will automate most professional work in 12 to 18 months lands awkwardly against Copilot's 3.3% paid seat share.

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